After a campaign that will be broken for almost two months, and that even overlapped with the vote for governor, the people of Cordoba in the capital will elect the successor to Martín Llaryora, who since December will leave the main chair of the 6 de Julio Palace to move to the Honeycomb and command the destinies of the Province. Today’s election will allow us to finish configuring the political map of Córdoba, which will offer an unprecedented scenario since December.
It happens that the elections of June 25 determined a meager victory of Llaryora over Luis Juez, which limits a scenario of absolute parity in the Unicameral, with 33 legislators per side between the two main coalitions and supremacy of Together for Change in the Court of Accounts.
Now it remains to know who will reach the Municipality and how the Deliberative Council will be configured, which will be a sounding board for what happens in the Legislature, taking into account how the connections of forces are diagrammed.
The fine analysis of the data from the “super survey” that meant the election of the 25 exclusive restructure part of the campaigns of Daniel Passerini (We Do United for Córdoba) and Rodrigo de Loredo (Together for Change) based on these data. From both campaign commands they clarified that one of the keys for this Sunday to broaden the voter base for the election will be the governor.
In that plan, he placed more emphasis on Peronism, although De Loredo himself lashed out at the troops, asking them to go vote at the end of the campaign. Although the goal is the same, the realities are different. As explained in this medium last Sunday, the idea in Hacemos Unidos por Córdoba is to increase the number of voters mainly in the places where Llaryora won, that is, the neighborhoods on the periphery.
On a total voting percentage of 67.7% (the lowest since the return of democracy), Peronism read carefully that in those neighborhoods where they varied, the advantage went to vote, on average, 62% of the register. “We have to reach 75%,” said a leader who was in charge of visiting those neighborhoods, house to house, to ensure a higher participation in today’s event. The number seems high, but it is not so high when compared to the percentages of the elections that were brought forward in the last two provincial elections: 74.6% in 2015 and 73.1% in 2019.
On the side of Together for Change, the goal is for people to vote again. It happens that, unlike Peronism, in the places where Judge prevailed, the participation was, on average, 78%. “That is the great challenge for today’s day. Let people go out of vacation mode and vote,” said a radical leader.
Llaryora, leader of the coming PJ
Regardless of what happens with the presidential race of Juan Schiaretti, the landing of Llaryora in El Panal augurs a new stage in Cordoba’s Cordovanism (started by José Manuel de la Sota and continued by Schiaretti). The great unknown is to know with what structure it will face the challenge of leading the expanded Peronism of Córdoba. Passerini’s electoral performance will be key in this sense and that is why the campaign will focus on the concept of “we keep doing it” and on drilling on the idea of a team that appeals to continuity as the formula for success.
For Peronism it is not just another election. The absence of public opinion polls (unlike what happened in June) augurs that the fight will be even and this could be seen in the aggressive tone of the campaign, where cross-reporting abounded. All in all, maintaining power in two of the largest structures in the country (province and municipality) put 100% of the leadership in the military until the last minute before the ban and to continue the campaign on social networks until the moment of voting.
Opposition leader wanted
Passerini will be led by a De Loredo who, for the first time in his political career, was able to put together and execute a campaign “tailored to his needs.” With an absolute centrality in his figure, dispensing with the Juntos por el Cambio seal on the graphics and on TV, and marking the field for the national figures of Together for Change who passed through Córdoba (short visits and fleeting appearances in specific places), the evolutionist is confident, to the point that on Monday he was in Buenos Aires participating in political programs on TN and La Nación+.
De Loredo knows that winning would generate a double effect: behind closed doors, he would become the virtual head of the opposition, strengthened by the formation of the Unicameral, with several legislators who responded to him, and would begin to project his leadership from the 6 de Julio Palace, which would represent an unprecedented scenario for Llaryora.
Not only that. De Loredo would become a key piece to reorganize Cordoba radicalism, which shows its figures of the last 25 years, including Mario Negri, Oscar Aguad and Ramón Mestre, either on the plain or trying to join an eventual national government of Together for Change.
“The opportunity to become the leader of the renewal, accompanied by his people in the Legislature and by the mayors of the UCR who won on the 25th is very present. We will have to wait for the result of the election and in that case how Rodrigo faces the process”, says a radical leader.
Judge withdrew from the municipal campaign but was at the closing and supported the Juntos formula. It is also time for reinvention for the leader of the Civic Front. From the final result of this Sunday, strong indications can be found about his political future. In the middle, more than 1.1 million people from Cordoba are eligible to vote. It has already been said: participation will be the key to completing the political tableau of Córdoba. Although they all ask that people vote, much of the campaign was spent in the mud, as had not happened in a long time. The new mayor of Córdoba will emerge from that quagmire.
