As they do every quarter, the professionals who work in the National Metereological Service produced an update of the Quarterly Weather Forecast. In this study they summarize the best probabilities about what can be expected in terms of average temperatures and rainfall during the next winter throughout the Argentine territory.
According to meteorologists of the SMN, the behavior of rainfall and temperature can be classified in three categories: “below” normal, “normal” or “above” normal.
For this winter, experts forecast months with a higher probability of registering –on average– “higher” than normal temperatures for the zone of the Argentine northwest, Cuyo, the Litoral and for the east of the province of Buenos Aires. Meanwhile, a greater probability of “normal” or “higher” than normal cold values is expected for Córdoba, western Santa Fe, western Buenos Aires province and La Pampa.
What will the weather be like in the next three months?
In the northern provinces and for central and northern Patagonia, the probabilities favor the expectation of within the “average” for the winter season. While for the region of Tierra del Fuego and the south of the province of Santa Cruz the average temperatures may even be below the historical average.
As for the rains, During the quarter, the forecasts that soon favor above-normal rainfall for the northern area of the Litoral, eastern Buenos Aires and the entire western Patagonia dominate. For the south of the coastal provinces, west of Buenos Aires, La Pampa, south of Cuyo and east of Patagonia there is a greater probability that rainfall is normal or above normal.
On the other hand, for the extreme north of the country, Córdoba, the west of Santa Fe and the south of Patagonia, everything indicates that there will be rains within the normal parameters for Argentine winters. Finally, for the west of the NOA and north of Cuyo no rains have been forecast, since it is, historically, the time of the year of the dry season, that is, the period in which there is always little rain.
